Major Snow Came (12/25/2010)....

[kayger12]

Models aren't quite in agreement yet, but we've got potential for a HUGE system to park off the Delmarva on Sunday/Monday. We're talking one of those 12" plus coastal sh^t hammers like last winter.

The ZHP might be off the road for a while....

[mimalmo]

When we got hit with 17" of snow last week, I didn't even bother trying to take out the car. It takes so long for the streets and highways to get cleared off after a big hit like that so there's deep drifts everywhere.

[kayger12]

At least you're road crews and drivers are probably used to it up there-- 17" of snow here is like the Apocalypse-- everything shuts down for like a week. It's kind of comical, actually...

[Marcus-SanDiego]

It's been raining here in San Diego for five straight days. I imagine there is going to be some vicious weather moving east from here. Good luck.

[danewilson77]

Its all because of BP...........

[az3579]

I hope you don't mean me, Dane... :(


Will let you all know how bad it is to drive this bad boy in the deep snow with mediocre all-seasons. Can't wait... :rolleyes

[danewilson77]

No.....the oil spill, slowing the warm currents...blah, blah, blah.....

[adb1028]

Models aren't quite in agreement yet, but we've got potential for a HUGE system to park off the Delmarva on Sunday/Monday. We're talking one of those 12" plus coastal sh^t hammers like last winter.

The ZHP might be off the road for a while....

My forecast says 1-3 inches :dunno:

[zhp43867]

Yeah doesn't seem like PA is gunna get anything.

[kayger12]

My forecast says 1-3 inches :dunno:

Yep- big fizzle over the past few days. It's still gonna bomb out, it'll just be 1000 miles off shore when it does.

Maybe 3-6 on the coast if we're lucky. Prolly a miss though.

[Smilez]

what is this snow you speak of?

[danewilson77]

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/Funny/Snowy_Mountains.jpg

[zhp43867]

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/Funny/Snowy_Mountains.jpg

You can't just go creeping around my back yard takin' pictures without my permission! :shifty

[mimalmo]

Just got a few more inches last night over here. :). This is turning into a great year for those of us that ski or snowboard.

[az3579]

I still think the weather report is wrong, the same way it's been for the past couple of weeks.

[Smilez]

[IMG]

so basically you get snow cones falling from the sky? do you keep flavors in your trunk?

[danewilson77]

Yes....with the swirly, swirly gum drops....

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/Funny/elf.jpg

[pyreguy]

don't be a cotton headed ninny muggins...

[danewilson77]

I am not a cotton headed ninny muggins.....!!!!!

[pyreguy]

:rofl I actually just saw that movie for the first time this week. I was glad to be able to use that line so quickly. :biggrin

[zhp43867]

I only see one inch accumulation, but up to 40mph gusts. Party time :gabe

[kayger12]

I only see one inch accumulation, but up to 40mph gusts. Party time :gabe

NWS is always late to the game. I still think you're going to see 5"-10" where you are....Maybe...

[kayger12]

Hot off the press from one of my favorite meteorological blogs:

http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/liveweatherblogs/images/blogimage/snopwmap.gif

"The latest trends are alarming and will come close to giving a major snowfall in the major cities along the I-95 Corridor...

1) Models are shifting west. Huge shifts west in the CMC and NAM tonight.

2) GFS shows over 16" of snow in the PHL/NYC metro areas.

3) Second guess map above is a GUESS until I lock in my numbers tomorrow around noon with a more detailed outlook including mesoscale features."

[danewilson77]

Thanks for the update bro. When is this supposed to hit? Need to make sure the zhp is tucked in....

[kayger12]

Thanks for the update bro. When is this supposed to hit? Need to make sure the zhp is tucked in....

Should hit during the day Sunday.

I'll update this thread tomorrow when they get a better handle on the details.

[Jon D]

This is a big storm, they are even saying there is a slight chance here. That not good

[Daddyoh]

Well fellas, I guess I'm missing something over here in the W.Va. eastern panhandle. I see snow showers only, and I guess the weather channel is reluctant to say anything about accums. However, we are getting a nice little snow shower right now. It's dusting everything and I DON'T LIKE IT! I wanna drive my beautiful Christmas present!
That pretty pink and blue map doesn't look good for Dane...

[kayger12]

Models all adjusted west overnight- means that the worst case scenario from 3 days ago is starting to pan out.

This thing looks like it may bomb out big-time over the coastal mid-atlantic.

This is from a guy at the weather blog I frequent who called almost every storm on the head last winter:

Decided to rename the G.F.S. Good For Snow because it has been taking the totals up each run and we'll see where this model decides to end with the Nor'easter. Right now on the GFS and the latest run we have the following...remember my range is including the Fluff Factor or snow ratio. Baltimore 1.25" liquid would be 12-16" snow DC Metro 1.10" or 11-15" snow Wilmington DE 1.34" or 13-18" of snow Dover DE 1.52" or 14-19" of snow Philadelphia 1.02" or 9-14" of snow Reading 1.21" or 12-16" of snow Allentown 1.15" or 11-15" of snow Trenton 1.11" 11-15" of snow Millville 1.24" or 12-16" of snow AC Metro 1.22" or 12-16" of snow NYC Metro 1.11" or 11-16" of snow BOS Metro 1.55" or 15-20" of snow

[kayger12]

Just to clarify though before I send everyone into a blizzard panic, those numbers are based on the present run of just one of the models, they aren't a forecast. Lots can change in the next 24 hours. Still a 20% chance that it misses out to sea...

[danewilson77]

Kayger.....what is it that you do again?

[kayger12]

Kayger.....what is it that you do again?

Lol-- Was a pilot for a few years before I was a cop. Lot's of weather involved in the 'ol pilots licenses-- the weather bug kind of sticks with you...

[danewilson77]

ok....I was gonna say. You're trippin me out brutha...

[danewilson77]

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/Funny/2xus_rd_anim.gif

[danewilson77]

Just started snowing here...

[kayger12]

Nice. Looking at an arrival here at 1100 tomorrow morning.

Looking like it's gonna be a bear.

[danewilson77]

Thanks for the update bro. I will let ya know how much we get...later tonight.....just so you can update your nationwide empirical data....:rofl

[kayger12]

Lol- The Unofficial ZHP Winter Operation Meteorological Advisory Service.

Our Motto:

Like NOAA, but with Bitchin rides.

[danewilson77]

Lol- The Unofficial ZHP Winter Operation Meteorological Advisory Service.

Our Motto:

Like NOAA, but with Bitchin rides.

:rofl

[Mtnman]

Perfect! Unofficially, official....

[danewilson77]

Do you see what I see......

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/IMG_20101225_191956.jpg

[kayger12]

Nice! Although it took me a few seconds to pry my eyes off of the imola...

[kayger12]

For my Jersey peeps...

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/phi/StormTotalSnow/StormTotalSnowFcst.png

[danewilson77]

Can you provide the link o the above map?

[adb1028]

Damn, thats a lot of powder

[kayger12]

The map comes from here (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/phi/StormTotalSnow/index.php)

Lots of winter weather related tools here (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/phi/winter.html)

Weather blog I use is here (http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/)

[danewilson77]

How do I find the total snow forecast for my area. I need the main page.

Thanks for the tools...

[kayger12]

How do I find the total snow forecast for my area. I need the main page.

Thanks for the tools...

Standby- I'll dig it up. Website isn't very user friendly.

[kayger12]

Snow forecast for you here (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/akq/winter/totalsnow.png)

Your area forecast page here (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/akq/).

[danewilson77]

Thank you kind sir. I couldn't find the main page. You are the man.

[kayger12]

No prob, DW.

[danewilson77]

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/Imola%20Bimmer/DSC03875.jpg

[kayger12]

Very nice.

[danewilson77]

Yeah, still snowing....sigh.....

[gr330zhp]

Yeah I was down in NJ for the holiday and they are supposed to get roughly 16" of snow. We left early this morning to beat it.

How much expected for you guys, Dane?

About 10" expected for us in Maine, but thats nothing for us hehe :)

[danewilson77]

Looks like 14-16"...WTF?

http://i1015.photobucket.com/albums/af278/nicee46/Funny/totalsnow.png

[Mtnman]

Sweet. We got nine iches here in asheville. Have fun in the snow! Im gonna have to figure out how to get the zhp out of the garage for a good winter pic for that ecs tuning gift certificate!

[zhp43867]

Stuff is just blowing around here. We have a couple inches max atm.

[kayger12]

Stuff is just blowing around here. We have a couple inches max atm.

Yep-- North and West of Philly is getting a lot of dry north air sucking into the system-- keeping the big stuff from making it to you.

So bad here, we're actually getting thundersnow...

[danewilson77]

So bad here, we're actually getting thundersnow...

:rofl

[zhp43867]

ok deh snow iz comin down nao i dun gon and see it.

[kayger12]

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/StormTotalSnowFcst.png

Looks like we have over 20 inches where I'm at, with another 2-4 due by morning-- :eyetwitch

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Man. That's a lot of snow in such a short period of time.

Will you guys be able to get into work tomorrow?

[kayger12]

I'm off until next Monday, but anyone who's got to go in the morning is going to have a rough go of it. I just drove home about 2 miles from a family members house and it was brutal even with 4wd and good tires. They just don't have the equipment around here to keep up with this kind of snowfall.

I'll shoot some pics in the morning. This is def the most snow from one storm here in my lifetime...

[Marcus-SanDiego]

In for pics.

Thanks, Keith. And glad to hear you don't have to head into work this week.

[mimalmo]

http://i.imgur.com/M75xU.jpg

[pyreguy]

^:rofl

[kayger12]

A pic before I got busy shoveling-

http://i1234.photobucket.com/albums/ff401/Kayger12/2010-12-27_10-51-49_697.jpg

And another of the ZHP sleeping comfortably in the garage

http://i1234.photobucket.com/albums/ff401/Kayger12/2010-12-27_10-51-40_698.jpg

Oh, and btw-- that was shoveled twice yesterday while it was snowing...

Now I have to drive up to my Dad's and shovel him out-- he's got a 5 foot drift blocking his front door. Should be fun.

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Damn. Wish I was there with you, Keith. I'd help with the shoveling. Then we could head to your dad's house and do that, too.

[kayger12]

Damn. Wish I was there with you, Keith. I'd help with the shoveling. Then we could head to your dad's house and do that, too.

Appreciate that, Mark.

And, of course, the after-shovel beers would be on me :cheers

[Smilez]

DAMN that really sucks

[zhp43867]

I've got 200lbs of concrete on the back of my tractor, which has a snowplow attachment. Made short work of this ish.

My 318is is doing okay with 120lbs of concrete in the back and Continental DWS tires. Limited slip helps a bunch.

[Rayzah Blade]

Man, weatherman have it easy. Only job where you can consistently be wrong and not get fired. Supposed to get 18+ inches of snow, ended up with a little under 6.
Side note, going to work this morning was a breeze! Started the girl up, turned on butt warmer, shoveled driveway and off I went!! Blizzaks are truly God's gift to winter tires. Paired with the AWD, the girl was a beast on the snow-laden streets!!!
Be safe out there guys (do we have gals here?) it sure is messy!!

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Once upon a time, I took a tour of Fox News. Want to know something funny? The meteorologist had Weather for Dummies on his desk. I kid you not.

[kayger12]

What I found at Dad's

http://i1234.photobucket.com/albums/ff401/Kayger12/2010-12-27_14-34-19_630.jpg

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Lovely.

Keith, I changed your picture. You had a URL tag on it. I made it an IMG tag instead (so that everyone could see the picture here).

[danewilson77]

What I found at Dad's

http://i1234.photobucket.com/albums/ff401/Kayger12/2010-12-27_14-34-19_630.jpg

On my F.............................................!

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Yeah. Dad's a shut in for right now. haha.

[kayger12]

Lovely.

Keith, I changed your picture. You had a URL tag on it. I made it an IMG tag instead (so that everyone could see the picture here).

Thanks, Mark.

For some reason that happens sometimes when I upload using Tapatalk sometimes. I have to be screwing something up.

[Marcus-SanDiego]

No worries. I'm behind the scenes making sure everything runs smoothly.

[mimalmo]

The 17 inches of snow we got in the Minneapolis area was bad enough. 27-28 inches is a serious headache - especially when you add in the drifting snow. Last time we got over 2 feet of snow was in 1991. I remember a lot of stuff was shut down for almost a week as we dug out from it. We got drifts as high as 15 feet that completely covered roads from that storm.

[kayger12]

The 17 inches of snow we got in the Minneapolis area was bad enough. 27-28 inches is a serious headache - especially when you add in the drifting snow. Last time we got over 2 feet of snow was in 1991. I remember a lot of stuff was shut down for almost a week as we dug out from it. We got drifts as high as 15 feet that completely covered roads from that storm.

This was definitely ugly. Up north they had over 200 cars stranded for 12 hours because people just assumed that the DOT could keep the major roads passable.

Rahway, NJ got 32 inches :eyetwitch

[kayger12]

Here's the finished excavation at my Dad's

http://i1234.photobucket.com/albums/ff401/Kayger12/2010-12-27_15-47-21_605.jpg

My good Karma paid off, though-- when I got home (still having to dig out 2/3 of my driveway) I found this :headbang

http://i1234.photobucket.com/albums/ff401/Kayger12/2010-12-27_16-43-55_726.jpg

Father-in-law to the rescue!

[az3579]

Damn, and I thought we had it bad here. 18 or so inches, but having half the house buried? Holy crap on a stick with some extra cheese on the side...

[Alphatek45]

Love the pics. Makes me not miss NY as much...

[kayger12]

Love the pics. Makes me not miss NY as much...

Haha--- here to help where I can.

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Oh to be a kid in those conditions.

[Smilez]

Oh to be a kid in those conditions.

big bear is not too far away :shifty

[Marcus-SanDiego]

And let me add: oh to be a kid in those conditions -- and recover right away from the bumps and bruises that you'll get from messing around in the snow all day.

Ray, twenty years from now you'll know exactly what I'm talking about.

[kayger12]

And let me add: oh to be a kid in those conditions -- and recover right away from the bumps and bruises that you'll get from messing around in the snow all day.

Ray, twenty years from now you'll know exactly what I'm talking about.

+1000 on that.

I don't get to the slopes often anymore, so now when I get back from a day on the slopes now and I feel like I was in a plane crash. I spend the next few days popping ibuprofen like a deck hand on Deadliest Catch.

[Marcus-SanDiego]

I play basketball from time to time (rather than everyday like I used to do). My recovery time is getting longer and longer these days.

Same goes for football. Used to play often. Now play infrequently. When I do, wow.

To those who are younger: enjoy your youth. Stay in shape. Take care of yourself.

I lift weights these days, but it's not enough. Weight lifting doesn't help with being limber. Stretching is important. Weight lifting is anaerobic. Have to make sure you don't ignore the aerobic activities, too.

[Smilez]

I know what you mean to an extent. I use to play soccer, then i stopped and tried recently after stopping for 5 years. Next couple days i was so sore. I was walking as if i had something up my as*. In 20 years i'll probably not even be able to walk for a month.

However, i know when i'm in my retired years i'll still will be whooping on my grandchildren's ass in any video game system. :shifty

[Marcus-SanDiego]

The key to youth is simply staying active and taking care of yourself.

Many of us work behind a desk now -- and for a lot of hours. Makes it tough to get out for a run or for a pick-up game of hoops.

Regardless, I am resolving to get on the court more in 2011.

[Smilez]

yeah me too. i bought a Bball hoop to play here and there and failed never touch it lol. however, now that i have a motive (border patrol physical test) going to start running working out, and playing some hoops or soccer.

[kayger12]

The key to youth is simply staying active and taking care of yourself.

Many of us work behind a desk now -- and for a lot of hours. Makes it tough to get out for a run or for a pick-up game of hoops.

Regardless, I am resolving to get on the court more in 2011.

I like your resolve, Mark.

I was getting a little thick around the midsection earlier this year and decided I was not going to be, "that guy." So got back to running last spring and shed the 22 extra pounds of slop I'd been carrying around. Feel a lot better and hopefully I add a few more years to enjoy life and get my money back out of the pension...

[Marcus-SanDiego]

I like your resolve, Mark.

I was getting a little thick around the midsection earlier this year and decided I was not going to be, "that guy." So got back to running last spring and shed the 22 extra pounds of slop I'd been carrying around. Feel a lot better and hopefully I add a few more years to enjoy life and get my money back out of the pension...

Smart man, Keith.

Anyhow, now that we've derailed this thread (hehe), I guess we better get back on topic.

Wow. That's a lot of snow you guys got!

[kayger12]

Smart man, Keith.

Anyhow, now that we've derailed this thread (hehe), I guess we better get back on topic.

Wow. That's a lot of snow you guys got!

:rofl Like herding cattle trying to keep us on topic :)

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Given our size, and given that we like each other, it's easy to get off topic around here.

I mainly try to keep us on topic because there are lurkers who don't participate as much -- but they're reading. They don't want to get bogged down with threads that are not relevant to what they thought they'd be reading.

Just looking out for you guys. Don't want to waste your time.

[az3579]

Smart man, Keith.

Anyhow, now that we've derailed this thread (hehe), I guess we better get back on topic.



Damn, just as I was about to ask Keith how much he was running and how frequently...
Well since I dragged it back off topic... so Keith? :biggrin

(I need to do the same - get rid of some padding I don't want)

[kayger12]

Completely understand. If this group had an official smiley, I'm thinking this would be it

:conversation

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Damn, just as I was about to ask Keith how much he was running and how frequently...
Well since I dragged it back off topic... so Keith? :biggrin

(I need to do the same - get rid of some padding I don't want)

I think this would make for a good off-topic thread, though. If someone wants to start one....

[adb1028]

Went out to snap a few pictures with the droid

My driveway after 3 hours of shoveling
http://img844.imageshack.us/img844/9817/20101228164511824.jpg

Front of the house covered in about 2.5-3ft of snow
http://img190.imageshack.us/img190/9344/2010122816461024.jpg

It's like the apocalypse here. Half of the town has been without power since Sunday night. The roads are absolutely horrible, the only people getting around are those with Jeeps or F-150's.

Everyone is stranded in their houses since the plows can't get around either. My last 3 days have consisted of eating and playing GT5 nonstop.

Only good thing about the snow was my good friend and I were able to take out his 5.7 Hemi Grand Cherokee and blaze trails. Off-roading with the Jeep in 3ft snow drifts was the honestly the most fun I've ever had.

[Marcus-SanDiego]

Alex, that sounds fun. I'm about to take some pictures of my car and it's dirtiness. Will post pics later.

[danewilson77]

Since were in the middle of winter.....can we change the name of this thread to "Major snow came"? Be nice....and just sayin

[kayger12]

Since were in the middle of winter.....can we change the name of this thread to "Major snow came"? Be nice....and just sayin

Change it up, Mod. I tried but OP can't edit thread title.

I think that's it for this year anyway.......

[Mtnman]

If u go advanced edit, I think u can

[kayger12]

If u go advanced edit, I think u can

Advanced Edit, FTW!

Hmmm. Changed it in post #1, but not in the Hyperlinked thread title.

Paging Mr. Wilson.....

[danewilson77]

Fix'd

[kayger12]

Fix'd

Thank you, good sir!

[kayger12]

http://vimeo.com/18213768

[az3579]

Keith,
Did you do that? It's freaking awesome.
I'm surprised the battery of whatever was being used lasted that long, unless it was plugged in.

[kayger12]

Keith,
Did you do that? It's freaking awesome.
I'm surprised the battery of whatever was being used lasted that long, unless it was plugged in.

Nah- the link to the video was in the local paper. I agree though- pretty cool.

[danewilson77]

That video is pure win!!!!!!!!!!!

[pyreguy]

That was so cool to watch! I am so glad we don't get snow here.